Latest news with #money supply
Times of Oman
2 days ago
- Business
- Times of Oman
Liquidity in Oman rises by 7.5%to OMR25.369bn by end of April 2025
Muscat: The domestic liquidity and lending indicators in the Sultanate of Oman recorded a notable increase of OMR1.8 billion by the end of April 2025, according to preliminary data issued by the National Centre for Statistics and Information (NCSI). The preliminary data shows that, the Domestic liquidity (M2) rose by 7.5%, reaching OMR25.369 billion, compared to OMR23.589 billion during the same period in 2024, recording an increase of OMR1.8 billion. Conversely, The issued currency (currency in circulation ), declined by 7.7%, standing at OMR1,540.4 million by the end of April 2025, compared to OMR1,669.6 million in April 2024. Narrow money supply (M1) saw a 12% increase, reaching OMR6,977.3 million, up from OMR6.231 million recorded at the end of April last year. The data also shows that, the private sector deposits with commercial banks and Islamic windows grew by 7.1%, totalling OMR21,516.9 million, compared to OMR20,086.6 million in April 2024. Simultaneously, total credit and financing provided by commercial banks and Islamic windows increased by 9%, reaching OMR33,590.3 million, compared to OMR30,810.1 million during the same period last year. The average interest rate on total loans recorded a slight decline of 0.9%, reaching 5.555%, compared to 5.604%, while the net foreign assets rose by 3.2%, reaching OMR6.987 million by the end of April 2025, compared to OMR6,773.4 million in April 2024. Meanwhile, the real effective exchange rate index of the Omani Rial remained stable at 118.4 points, with no significant change.
Arab News
6 days ago
- Business
- Arab News
Saudi money supply surges to $824bn as savers embrace high-interest deposits
RIYADH: Saudi banks' money supply M3 reached SR3.09 trillion ($824.3 billion) in May, rising about 9.39 percent from the same period last year. According to data by the Saudi Central Bank, also known as SAMA, time and savings deposits accounted for 35.16 percent of the total, slightly below the 16-year peak of 35.2 percent recorded in March, but still representing the highest share since 2009. The expansion has been driven by a marked shift in deposits. Savers are increasingly locking their money into term deposits to take advantage of higher interest rates. These interest-bearing accounts have grown at the fastest pace among all money categories, reflecting depositors' preference for higher returns amid a high-rate environment. Term deposits offer better interest in exchange for keeping funds for a fixed period, and therefore tend to gain popularity when interest rates are elevated. Despite this shift, demand deposits — funds in checking accounts that can be withdrawn on demand — remain the single largest component of the money supply, at around SR1.5 trillion, or roughly 48.6 percent of M3. That share has edged down from over 49 percent a year ago as more savers move into interest-yielding options. Meanwhile, other quasi-money deposits, such as foreign currency accounts and certain short-term instruments, represent roughly 8 percent or SR250 billion of the total, and physical currency in circulation outside banks adds about SR246 billion, according to SAMA data. As the US Federal Reserve embarked on aggressive rate hikes over the past two years to curb inflation, SAMA mirrored those moves to maintain the currency peg. This pushed Saudi interest rates to multi-year highs, peaking around 6 percent late last year. With inflation pressures subsequently easing, the US Fed began to loosen policy, implementing rate cuts totaling 100 basis points by the end of 2024. The rate relief was expected to continue into 2025. Indeed, by January, signs emerged that the deposit mix was starting to rebalance, as demand deposits began regaining ground once benchmark rates had come off their peak, according to SAMA data. Any further rate cuts were abruptly put on hold amid renewed global inflation concerns. Speaking earlier this month at the European Central Bank's annual forum in Sintra, Portugal, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said the Fed would probably be in a position to begin cutting rates were it not for the inflationary impact of President Donald Trump's new tariffs, according to Bloomberg. Central bankers expect Trump's import tariffs to lift inflation, so they have adopted a cautious 'wait-and-see' stance before resuming any rate reductions. As a result, the Fed has kept rates steady in recent months, after having trimmed about 100 basis points late last year, with the risk of inflationary pressure from tariffs delaying further easing. Given that SAMA typically mirrors Fed decisions to defend the riyal's dollar peg, this pause in US rate cuts has likewise led the Saudi central bank to hold its rates, keeping domestic borrowing costs elevated. Banks, in turn, have been competing for deposits by offering better returns on time accounts, a strategy to shore up liquidity while credit demand stays strong. Looking ahead, officials and analysts foresee an eventual turning point in the interest rate cycle. Goldman Sachs, for example, now projects that the Fed will begin cutting rates later in 2025, delivering three quarter-point rate cuts by the end of the year, up from two cuts in its earlier forecast, according to a July article by Bloomberg. Until that pivot materializes in interest rates, Saudi banks and their customers are capitalizing on the elevated returns offered by term deposits — a trend that has pushed savings deposits to record highs and fundamentally altered the composition of the Kingdom's money supply.
